I'm thinking head home early and stay home.
Originally Posted by National Weather Service
LATEST THINKING IS THAT THE ARCTIC FRONT AT THE SURFACE IS MOVING SOUTHEAST FASTER THAN THE MODELS ARE PROJECTING. THE MODELS DO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE UPPER SUPPORT...WHICH MEANS THAT NORTH TEXAS WILL HAVE THE COLD AIR IN PLACE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED ANDBUT WILL STILL HAVE STRONG UPPER SUPPORT FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGHTOMORROW AFTERNOON. WE ARE EXPECTING THE FRONT TO REACH MONTAGUECOUNTY JUST AFTER NOON AND REACH THE DFW AIRPORT AREA BY 4 TO 6 PM. THE FRONT WILL HAVE SWEPT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS BY 4 AM THURSDAYMORNING.
WE WILL UPGRADE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNINGFOR COUNTIES ALONG AND NORTH OF A GRAHAM...DECATUR...GAINESVILLELINE. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER AHALF INCH OF ICE AND UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IN THIS AREA BYTHURSDAY EVENING. GROUND TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE WARM...WHICH IS AMITIGATING FACTOR AND MUCH OF THE FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILLMELT...EXCEPT ON ELEVATED/EXPOSED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES ANDOVERPASSES.
FARTHER SOUTH...WE MAY NEED TO UPGRADE THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF ACOMANCHE...WAXAHACHIE...CANTON LINE INCLUDING THE DFW METROPLEX. ASSTATED ABOVE...MUCH OF THE FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL MELTUNTIL THE GROUND CAN COOL OFF...BUT ELEVATED SURFACES WILL COOL MUCHFASTER. THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WATCH MAY HAVE TO MOVE SOUTH ASWELL. MODELS ARE HINTING THAT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL COOL RAPIDLYTHURSDAY MORNING AND BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW BY LATE MORNING OVERTHE METROPLEX. SHOULD THAT OCCUR WE WILL HAVE ENOUGH TIME TO PICK UP1-3 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE DFW AREA BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS FARTHER SOUTH BUT TRAVEL IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT.
IN ADDITION...THE DRY LINE WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING SOME SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. WE WILL BE LAUNCHING AN 18Z SOUNDING TO FURTHER ASSESS THE SEVERE POTENTIAL.